Maedeh Hedayatifard; Celine Rozenblat
Abstract
It is believed that systems with higher economic tightness are more resilient in the case of threats. This research aimed to test this hypothesis in the Iranian case of Kerman province which saw the earthquake in its central and historical city of Bam. To do so, the correlation between “economic ...
Read More
It is believed that systems with higher economic tightness are more resilient in the case of threats. This research aimed to test this hypothesis in the Iranian case of Kerman province which saw the earthquake in its central and historical city of Bam. To do so, the correlation between “economic tightness” and economic performance before and after shock is tested to see how economic interdependency can play role in the economic resilience of the regional system. Findings showed that while before the shock happens there is a positive and direct relation between economic tightness of a system and its economic performance, after-shock changes for regeneration of the system has negative relation with the economic tightness. It shows that although economic concentration is a positive index for urban and regional resilience, when the shock happens, it can be in turn a barrier for economic changes of a system. The explanation for this could be found in the issues of “related variety and economic growth”. Many studies showed that there is a positive relation between economic variety and economic development of a region. The related variety, which emphasizes the complementary and connectedness of activities and occupations, will bring up different opportunities for economic development as it paves the way for knowledge spill overs. After shock, what is needed is to change the current mechanisms. So, if the system is more innovated and open to the new changes, the new organization will take place easier.
Firooz Jafari; Afshar Hatami; Sepideh Noori
Abstract
To achieve a sustainable society, it is necessary to recognize the levels of vulnerabilities versus natural risks and root the causes of socio-physical differences. Based on this, recognizing vulnerability and socio-spatial pattern of that is the base of policy making toward reducing vulnerability and ...
Read More
To achieve a sustainable society, it is necessary to recognize the levels of vulnerabilities versus natural risks and root the causes of socio-physical differences. Based on this, recognizing vulnerability and socio-spatial pattern of that is the base of policy making toward reducing vulnerability and increasing resiliency. The objective of this research is to evaluate and rank the levels of socio-physical vulnerability of Ardabil province counties versus earthquake. This research from view of objective is applied and from view of nature and research method is a descriptive - analytic study. The required data for the study has been gathered from the reports of population and housing sections of national census center. To rank the counties in terms of distribution index, TOPSIS and to express the relationship between variables geographical weighted regression (GWR) has been used. The results of research indicate that in terms of social vulnerability Pars Abad County is on the very high zone and Ardabil County is on the very low zone. In contract, in terms of physical vulnerability, Meshkin County is on the very high zone and Ardabil County is on the very low zone. The results of combination of social and physical indexes in TOPSIS model showed that, Ardabil County with score of 0.580 is on the very low zone and Meshkin County with score of 0.411 is on the very high zone of vulnerability. Finally analysis of geographical weighted regression (GWR) indicated that there is direct and significant relationship between population and vulnerability.
